Tag Archives: Iowa

On Iowa Results

Caucus Results, Iowa 2012 (99% Reporting) Candidate:       Ramblin’            Iowa Caucus Romney:                  22.3%                        25.0%                    +2.7% Santorum:               21.2%                        25.0%                     +3.8% Paul:                         20.8%                       21.0%                     +0.2% Gingrich:                 12.8%                        13.0%                      +0.2% Perry:                       11.1%                          10.0%                     -1.1% Bachmann:              8.7%                          5.0%                       -3.7% Huntsmann: … Continue reading

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On Iowa, V

Prediction, Iowa 2012 Romney: 22.3% Santorum: 21.2% Paul: 20.8% Gingrich: 12.8% Perry: 11.1% Bachmann: 8.7% Huntsmann: 2.1% Level of Confidence (in this prediction): 0% Have fun, politicos!

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On Iowa, IV

On Iowa 2012 (Scenarios) Back when I hosted my own amateur political website, I would offer my own prediction for every major election. While I likely will not be able to hold back from doing that by 7:00pm tonight, it … Continue reading

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On Iowa, III

Polls, Iowa 2012 In looking at polling numbers, weighted averages, and predictions, I gravitate to three sites: Huffington Post Pollster (1.36%), RealClearPolitics (1.16%), and FiveThirtyEight (1.30%), along with these aggregate trackers I also keep my eye on two direct pollsters: … Continue reading

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On Iowa, II

Factions, Iowa 2012 There are almost always 4+ candidates that head into Iowa hoping to win, with usually about 8 still running campaigns waiting on a prayer. Almost always, 2+ candidates will bow out once they either meet meager expectations … Continue reading

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